Saturday, 19 September 2020

2020-09-019-001 COVID19

This year of 2020 has been a year of change globally. Earlier in the year,(about March 2020) there were news reports online initially of a Corona Virus which was in the process of being understood and which eventually was  labelled COVID19. 

With only images of persons dropping down without any warning, them being clothed,and also with face masks, precautions which were suggested were implemented and there was:

Social distancing, 

Washing of hands before entering public spaces and on reaching home,

after a period of shut down and then phased access to facilities.

The early online medical releases which included the symptoms of "flu (s)" from previous years supported the concept that contagious diseases could be managed, if not prevented:

Prevention could range from:

Drastic measures such as closure of airports or access by air of hundreds of persons at a time to 

Limiting the number of persons who entering a facility with shared air spaces such as a mall in  which there were several floors, a limited number of plants or air cleansing objects.

Prevention could be taken to mean:

Change in diet to more immune boosters, such as more vegetables, fish; less flour and carb intake,

Physical exercise outdoors to increase the individual's oxygen intake.

An increase in the intake of liquids which are designed to flush the system, such as water, juices.

In real terms, this COVID 19 virus may last for a number of financial periods and over the medium term interest rates could fall reducing the income which could be earned as that is one of the easy ways to manage costs in periods of uncertainty.

Disbursements in certain sectors may increase such as agriculture which in itself is diverse in activity, as there are: Sellers of seeds, seedlings, soil, additives to the soil, 

Sellers of equipment of various sizes and complexity, such as manual devices, gas operated equipment, such as brush cutters, tractors and lawn mowers.

Given the impact of time on the  receipt of  income for a simple activity which may require low cash outflows as seedlings could take up to a few weeks from the purchase of seeds to the sale of a seedling, the input into this industry could be large to meet the needs of an increasing number of participants, however the industry could remain extremely competitive and without support, could be a drain on a person's resources.

Learning curve: Given that it is possible that past results may generate confidence in a person's ability to recreate produce,  attempts to generate products and produce at a different time in the year may also impact upon cash flow, expectations and results.